Current Las Vegas Raiders Playoff Chances in 2025-26
The Las Vegas Raiders' playoff chances are about 24.4%, based on BetMGM odds of +310 to make the postseason.
| Raiders Playoff Chances: | +310 |
| Raiders Miss Playoffs: | -400 |
| Raiders Win AFC: | +5000 |
| Raiders Win AFC West: | +1200 |
| Raiders Make AFC Wild Card: | +310 |
| Last Verified: | June 9, 2025, Odds via BetMGM |
What Are the Latest Raiders Playoff Odds?
The Raiders' odds to make the playoffs are +310 at BetMGM, which implies roughly a 24% probability. Compared with the rest of the AFC and their AFC West foes, the Raiders, while they look to be improved, still face a very hard schedule, and perhaps they are just a few playmakers away from making a serious run into the postseason.
Updating the Raiders Playoff Chances Week-by-Week
| Preseason | 24.4% chance |
| Week 1 | N/A |
Can the Raiders Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Raiders can still make the playoffs as the season hasn’t kicked off, and their +310 odds mean they have about a one-in-four shot to make it back to the playoffs for the first time since 2021. With a new coaching staff and a few key additions, a playoff push isn’t out of reach, but they’ll need to exceed expectations early and likely have some luck on their side.
Raiders Playoff Picture
Las Vegas enters the season in rebuilding mode under new head coach Pete Carroll’s leadership. Early projections place them near the middle of the pack in the AFC, with playoff hopes resting on improved consistency from offense, primarily new quarterback Geno Smith, and the continued development of the defense. The toughest challenge remains carving out space in a crowded wildcard race in a tough division, but the team's recent changes are shifting the narrative toward optimism, and odds have slightly moved in their favor over the last few weeks.
Where Are the Raiders in the AFC West Divisional Race?
With +1200 odds to win the AFC West via BetMGM, the Raiders trail behind their typical division heavyweights. Compared to the Chiefs (–125) and Chargers (+325), Las Vegas is a clear underdog. Their primary rival remains Kansas City, with Denver also posing a threat at +350 for the division title. This section will be updated weekly with new odds and outcomes.
Looking at the Raiders Playoff History & Results
The Raiders have made the playoffs 23 times in their history, primarily as the Los Angeles and Oakland Raiders, and last made the playoffs in the 2021 season, suffering a loss in the Wild Card round against the Cincinnati Bengals. Of the 23 times they have made the playoffs, 15 times were as the Division champion and eight times as a Wild Card recipient.
Las Vegas Raiders Super Bowl 60 Odds
| Las Vegas Raiders preseason Super Bowl odds: | +12500 |
| Las Vegas Raiders preseason Super Bowl chances: | 0.8% |
Note: Odds given by BetMGM
Raiders Super Bowl Odds Compared To AFC West
Below are how the Raiders fare against other teams in the division -
| Las Vegas Raiders odds: | +12500 |
| Denver Broncos odds: | +4000 |
| Kansas City Chiefs odds: | +800 |
| Los Angeles Chargers odds: | +2500 |
Las Vegas Raiders Super Bowl History
The Raiders have appeared in five Super Bowls throughout their franchise history. Their first trip came in the 1976 season, followed by additional appearances in 1980, 1983, 2002, and 2003. These games span both their time in Oakland and Los Angeles, and have not yet made the Super Bowl in Las Vegas.
Have the Raiders Ever Won a Super Bowl?
Yes, the Raiders have won the Super Bowl three times—capturing titles in the 1976, 1980, and 1983 seasons.
Latest News Impacting Raiders Playoff & Super Bowl Chances
- Pete Carroll named head coach: Pete Carroll, after a 14-year run with Seattle that included a Super Bowl title in 2013, officially became the Raiders’ head coach in January on a three-year deal.
- Geno Smith traded from Seattle: The Raiders acquired Geno Smith in March, sending a 2025 third-round pick to the Seahawks. Smith reunites with head coach Pete Carroll and brings experience and leadership to the position. Las Vegas signed him to a multi-year extension based on his success in Seattle and familiarity under Carroll.
- John Spytek hired as GM: The Raiders brought in John Spytek as their new general manager this offseason. Known for his front-office work with Tampa Bay, Spytek steps into the new leadership role with the Raiders as the team looks to reset its roster and long-term direction with new head coach Pete Carroll.
- Veteran offensive line additions: Las Vegas added guard Alex Cappa and drafted Caleb Rogers and Charles Grant to strengthen their line. NFL analysts have suggested the projected starting front five—Miller, Glaze, Powers-Johnson, Parham or Meredith, and Cappa—have the Raiders with one of the better offensive lines in the AFC and a big improvement from the last few seasons.
- Defensive coordinator Patrick Graham retained, Chip Kelly hired: The Raiders brought back Patrick Graham as defensive coordinator, building on a defense that ranked inside the top third of the league in the second half of 2024. Meanwhile, veteran coach Chip Kelly, who was with Ohio State University, was added as offensive coordinator to modernize the attack and has come back to the NFL after multiple stints.
Key Contributors Toward Raiders' Postseason Odds
- Geno Smith: Smith's veteran presence and rapport with Pete Carroll should allow him to anchor the offense and potentially lead the team back into playoff contention. He should be a vast improvement for the Raiders, who have struggled at the quarterback position
- Davante Adams: Although getting older, Adams remains one of the league’s elite wideouts and will be Geno's go-to target in critical moments. He hopes to bounce back after a relatively quiet season with the New York Jets.
- Maxx Crosby: The All-Pro defensive end continues to be one of the most disruptive forces off the edge in the NFL. He should continue to drive quarterback pressures and generate turnovers.
- Josh Jacobs: As the team’s primary running back, Jacobs must continue to provide consistent rushes and pass-catching to alleviate some of the pressure off of Geno Smith.
Where Can I Bet on the Las Vegas Raiders Postseason Odds?
In Canada, betting regulations differ by province, so residents should check local laws. Ontario offers legal online sports betting, including the same major platforms popular in the U.S.—BetMGM, FanDuel, and DraftKings. For this preview, BetMGM was used to source all Raiders futures and playoff odds.
Raiders Playoff Chances & Scenarios FAQs:
Yes. The regular season hasn’t started, so the Raiders still have a path to the postseason. Their +310 odds at BetMGM translate to around a 24% chance, highlighting both the potential hope fans can have and the underdog status surrounding their team this season.
No. As it is still the preseason, it’s impossible to clinch before the season begins. Their +310 odds show that they may have a lot of work to do, and a few things must fall their way, but that they should not be counted out, certainly not, before the season starts.
The Raiders’ playoff chances sit at +310 via BetMGM, suggesting roughly a 24% implied probability. These odds place Vegas as a fringe contender, and while odds have improved, they are not a lock for postseason football. Raiders fans should feel hopeful, not hopeless, like in previous seasons.
The Raiders last made the playoffs in the 2021 NFL season, reaching the wild-card round before losing to the Cincinnati Bengals. They have missed the playoffs each year since then.
Author
Dan Thompson is a Lead Betting Analyst and NFL Writer for BetCanada. Dan's unique experience makes him the perfect fit for you to know the latest on popular NFL teams in Canada.