Las Vegas Raiders Playoff & Super Bowl Chances 2025-26

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Fact Checked by Wes Roesch

As the new NFL season kicks off in just a few short months, Raiders fans are already tuned into tracking their favorite team's playoff picture and futures at Canadian sportsbooks. With the team entering a new era under Pete Carroll and Geno Smith at QB, and with the drafting of promising running back Ashton Jeanty, the early buzz is building. Below you’ll find the latest odds on where Vegas stands heading into Week 3 and what should be expected for the Black and Silver.

Current Las Vegas Raiders Playoff Chances in 2025-26

The Las Vegas Raiders' playoff chances are about 25%, based on DraftKings odds of +300 to make the postseason.

Raiders Playoff Chances:+300
Raiders Miss Playoffs:-400
Raiders Win Super Bowl:+18000
Raiders Win AFC:+7500
Raiders Win AFC West:+1900
Last Verified:September 17, 2025 

What Are the Latest Raiders Playoff Odds?

The Raiders' odds to make the playoffs are +300 at DraftKings, implying a roughly 25% probability. Compared to the rest of the AFC and their AFC West foes, the Raiders, although they appear to be improved, still face a very challenging schedule, and perhaps they are just a few playmakers away from making a serious run into the postseason.

Updating the Raiders Playoff Chances Week-by-Week

Preseason23.3% chance 
Week 121.3% chance
Week 228.6% chance
Week 325% chance
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Can the Raiders Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Raiders can still make the playoffs as the season hasn’t kicked off, and their +370 odds mean they have about a one-in-four shot to make it back to the playoffs for the first time since 2021. With a new coaching staff and a few key additions, a playoff push isn’t out of reach, but they’ll need to exceed expectations early and likely have some luck on their side, especially in a loaded AFC West. 

Raiders Playoff Picture

Las Vegas enters the season in rebuilding mode under new head coach Pete Carroll’s leadership. Early projections place them near the middle of the pack in the AFC, with playoff hopes resting on improved consistency from offense, primarily new quarterback Geno Smith, and the continued development of the defense. The toughest challenge remains carving out space in a crowded wildcard race in a tough division, but the team's recent changes are shifting the narrative toward optimism, and odds have slightly moved in their favor over the last few weeks.

Where Are the Raiders in the AFC West Divisional Race?

With +1900 odds to win the AFC West via DraftKings, the Raiders trail behind their typical division heavyweights. Currently, the Chargers have the best odds (-110), followed by the Chiefs (+270) and Broncos (+320). 

Looking at the Raiders Playoff History & Results

The Raiders have made the playoffs 23 times in their history, primarily as the Los Angeles and Oakland Raiders, and last made the playoffs in the 2021 season, suffering a loss in the Wild Card round against the Cincinnati Bengals. Of the 23 times they have made the playoffs, 15 times were as the Division champion and eight times as a Wild Card recipient.

Las Vegas Raiders Super Bowl 60 Odds

Las Vegas Raiders preseason Super Bowl odds:+15000
Las Vegas Raiders Week 1 Super Bowl odds+15000
Las Vegas Raiders Week 2 Super Bowl odds+12000
Las Vegas Raiders Week 3 Super Bowl odds+18000

Note: Odds given by DraftKings

Raiders Super Bowl Odds Compared To AFC West

Below are how the Raiders fare against other teams in the division - 

Las Vegas Raiders odds:+18000
Denver Broncos odds:+3000
Kansas City Chiefs odds:+1500
Los Angeles Chargers odds:+1600

Las Vegas Raiders Super Bowl History

The Raiders have appeared in five Super Bowls throughout their franchise history. Their first trip came in the 1976 season, followed by additional appearances in 1980, 1983, 2002, and 2003. These games span both their time in Oakland and Los Angeles, and have not yet made the Super Bowl in Las Vegas.

Have the Raiders Ever Won a Super Bowl?

Yes, the Raiders have won the Super Bowl three times—capturing titles in the 1976, 1980, and 1983 seasons.

Latest News Impacting Raiders Playoff & Super Bowl Chances

  • Pete Carroll named head coach: Pete Carroll, after a 14-year run with Seattle that included a Super Bowl title in 2013, officially became the Raiders’ head coach in January on a three-year deal.
  • Geno Smith traded from Seattle: The Raiders acquired Geno Smith in March, sending a 2025 third-round pick to the Seahawks. Smith reunites with head coach Pete Carroll and brings experience and leadership to the position. Las Vegas signed him to a multi-year extension based on his success in Seattle and familiarity under Carroll. 
  • John Spytek hired as GM: The Raiders brought in John Spytek as their new general manager this offseason. Known for his front-office work with Tampa Bay, Spytek steps into the new leadership role with the Raiders as the team looks to reset its roster and long-term direction with new head coach Pete Carroll.
  • Veteran offensive line additions: Las Vegas added guard Alex Cappa and drafted Caleb Rogers and Charles Grant to strengthen their line. NFL analysts have suggested the projected starting front five—Miller, Glaze, Powers-Johnson, Parham or Meredith, and Cappa—have the Raiders with one of the better offensive lines in the AFC and a big improvement from the last few seasons.
  • Defensive coordinator Patrick Graham retained, Chip Kelly hired: The Raiders brought back Patrick Graham as defensive coordinator, building on a defense that ranked inside the top third of the league in the second half of 2024. Meanwhile, veteran coach Chip Kelly, who was with Ohio State University, was added as offensive coordinator to modernize the attack and has come back to the NFL after multiple stints.

Key Contributors Toward Raiders' Postseason Odds

  • Geno Smith: Smith's veteran presence and rapport with Pete Carroll should allow him to anchor the offense and potentially lead the team back into playoff contention. He should be a vast improvement for the Raiders, who have struggled at the quarterback position.
  • Ashton Jeanty: The 2025 first-round draft pick will have the offense run through him, especially in a Pete Carroll offense that heavily focuses on the running game. 
  • Brock Bowers: The 2024 first-round draft exploded out of the gate and was sensational, catching 112 passes for 1195 yards and five touchdowns. Expect him to continue to be a large part of this offense. 
  • Maxx Crosby: The All-Pro defensive end continues to be one of the most disruptive forces off the edge in the NFL. He should continue to drive quarterback pressures and generate turnovers. 

Where Can I Bet on the Las Vegas Raiders Postseason Odds?

In Canada, betting regulations differ by province, so residents should check local laws. Ontario offers legal online sports betting, including the same major platforms popular in the U.S.—BetMGM, FanDuel, and DraftKings. For this preview, DraftKings was used to source all Raiders futures and playoff odds.

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Author

Dan Thompson
Dan Thompson
Sports Betting Analyst

Dan Thompson is a Lead Betting Analyst and NFL Writer for BetCanada. Dan's unique experience makes him the perfect fit for you to know the latest on popular NFL teams in Canada.