Raiders Vs Patriots Odds: Who Is Favored To Win in Week 1?
Below are the different betting odds for the Raiders first game of the year 👇
| 🏈 Spread | +3.0 |
| 📈 Moneyline | +40 |
| 📊 Over/Under | 42.5 |
| ✅ Last Verified: | August 14, 2025 |
Raiders Chances To Win vs Patriots
Las Vegas enters Week 1 as underdogs (+2.5 to +3.5) across the sportsbooks. The Raiders will lean on new quarterback Geno Smith, who ranked second in the NFL in accuracy in 2024 when kept clean, to help them turn around the franchise under new coach Pete Carroll. The Raiders' defensive unit, particularly the back four, needs to step up if they plan on competing this season.
How The Raiders Win vs Patriots
For the Raiders to walk out of Foxborough with a win, they need to establish the run early with rookie Ashton Jeanty, exploiting a Patriots defense that ranked near the bottom of the league in rushing yards allowed last season. Geno Smith, who was the NFL’s second-most accurate quarterback when not under pressure in 2024, can be highly effective if the offensive line holds up and keeps him upright. The key is staying on schedule, limiting third-and-longs, and letting Smith distribute the ball efficiently. Defensively, Maxx Crosby and Christian Wilkins have to collapse the pocket and force quarterback Drake Maye into quick decisions, ideally creating turnovers and shortening the field for Geno Smith and his offense.
- Strength: Elite accuracy from Smith in clean pockets against a New England defense that is still developing.
- Weakness: Offensive line’s subpar 2024 performance puts Smith's accuracy at risk, especially early in the season.
How The Patriots Win vs Raiders
For New England to secure the win, they’ll lean on Drake Maye’s dual-threat upside. Last season, he posted a strong 66.6 % completion rate with 15 TDs and just 10 INTs in 2024, ranking 17th in QBR. The Patriots’ defense excelled on crucial downs, holding opponents to just a 43.3 % third‑down conversion rate and were among the NFL’s stingiest against the run, allowing just 4.4 yards per carry. If New England can bottle up the Raiders’ ground game and stay disciplined on third downs, they’ll keep Geno Smith under pressure and force turnovers. Under new head coach Mike Vrabel, with improved linebacker play and emerging talent like Milton Williams and Christian Gonzalez, they should be a very formidable opponent.
- Strength: Maye’s dual-threat play and revitalized defense under Mike Vrabel.
- Weakness: Inexperience across the team, learning under a new head coach, and potential early-season inconsistency from a young quarterback.
Quick Facts on Raiders Vs Patriots
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Lineups for Raiders Vs Patriots in Week 1
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Brandon Justice has nearly a decade of experience covering sports, primarily working in college football, college basketball, NFL and MLB. Brandon provides a detailed analysis of the latest iGaming & sports betting trends with a wealth of experience, including writing for The Action Network & Rivals.com.